Thursday, February 10, 2011

Just how great is Roger "The Shark" Bernadina?

My blog has recently been exploding with inquiries about Bernadina (Completely a lie.  No one reads this blog).
  1. He hasn't even played a full season, how can you tell he's good?
  2. How good is Bernadina compared to the rest of the team?
  3. Who would win in a fight; Roger Bernadina or a Great White Shark?
Well, I've done some research and here is what I came up with...

In 2010, Roger Bernadina had 414 At Bats (AB) (note: this excludes stats BB, SH, SF, HBP)
His stat line is as follows:  .246 Batting Average (avg), 52 Runs (R), 11 Home Runs (HR), 47 Runs Batted In (RBI), and 16 Stolen Bases (SB)

Those stats projected...
  • Over a full season of 600 AB: .246 Avg, 75 R, 16 HR, 68 RBI, 23 SB
    • (2x All Star Bobby Abreu's first full season stats:  .312 Avg, 68 R, 17 HR, 74 RBI, 19 SB)
  • Over 1000 AB: .246 Avg, 126 R, 27 HR, 113 RBI, 39 SB
    • (Please note: To reach these numbers, Bernadina would have to average more than 6 official ABs per game) 

Now lets compare Roger Bernadina's stats to the 2010 Washington Nationals...
  • Over 5418 AB, the Washington Nationals hit: .250 Avg, 655 R, 149 HR, 634 RBI, 110 SB
  • Bernadina's projected stats over 5418 AB: .246 Avg, 680 R, 143 HR, 615 RBI, 209 SB
As you can see, the 2010 Washington Nationals have the slight edge in Average, Home Runs, and RBIs, but The Shark has a substantial edge in Runs, and Stolen Bases. So there you have it, Roger Bernadina was as good or better than the average Nationals baseball player.  Assuming he continues to get better (he had 52x more runs in 2010 than 2009, and 102x more hits...imagine if this trend continues....), we can expect Bernadina to dominate the National League in 2011.  Shark Attack!

Also, Roger Bernadina would defeat a Great White Shark by KO in 3 rounds.

More to come.

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